Title: Emission Inventory Development and Projections for the Transforming Mexican Energy Sector

Institution(s) Represented: The University of Texas at Austin - Elena McDonald-Buller, Ramboll Environ US Corporation - Greg Yarwood

Lead PI: Elena McDonald-Buller

AQRP Project Manager: David Sullivan

TCEQ Project Liaison: Michael Ege

Awarded Amount: $158,309.00

Abstract

Within Texas, characterizing emission sources along its border and within Mexico has been recognized as essential for air quality modeling. Mexico's energy sector has been undergoing potentially transformational changes as part of Constitutional reforms ratified in 2013. A primary motivation is to encourage domestic and foreign investment and productivity growth in the oil, gas and power sectors. The reforms have the potential to significantly transform the magnitudes and spatial distributions of emissions from the oil and gas and power generation sectors over the next one to two decades. The overall objective of the proposed project is to apply new information to develop a bottom-up assessment of emissions for the upstream and midstream oil and gas sectors and power sector and to develop future emission projections based on likely outcomes of on-going bid rounds that are attracting new investment for exploration and production of oil and gas resources. Information and analytics for Mexico's upstream and midstream oil and gas sectors and power sector will be used to develop a 2016 base year emissions inventory, which coincides with the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA's) national air quality modeling platform and will likely be the basis for future air quality modeling by the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality (TCEQ). Plans and results for the hydrocarbon bid rounds will be used as the basis for three future emissions projections that compare continued development of Mexico's onshore conventional and shallow water resources, which is consistent with historical practices, with expansion of its deep water and onshore shale regions that have been underdeveloped to date relative to their potential.

The project is a collaborative effort between the University of Texas at Austin (UT Austin) and Ramboll.

Work Plan: projectinfoFY18_19\19-023\19-023 Scope.pdf
Technical Report(s): projectinfoFY18_19\19-023\19-023 MTR Oct 2018.pdf
Technical Report(s): projectinfoFY18_19\19-023\19-023 MTR Nov 2018.pdf
Technical Report(s): projectinfoFY18_19\19-023\19-023 MTR Dec 2018.pdf
Technical Report(s): projectinfoFY18_19\19-023\19-023 MTR Jan 2019.pdf
Technical Report(s): projectinfoFY18_19\19-023\19-023 MTR Feb 2019.pdf
Technical Report(s): projectinfoFY18_19\19-023\19-023 MTR Mar 2019.pdf
Technical Report(s): projectinfoFY18_19\19-023\19-023 MTR Apr 2019.pdf
Technical Report(s): projectinfoFY18_19\19-023\19-023 MTR May 2019.pdf
Technical Report(s): projectinfoFY18_19\19-023\19-023 MTR Jun 2019.pdf
Technical Report(s): projectinfoFY18_19\19-023\19-023 MTR Jul 2019.pdf

QAPP: projectinfoFY18_19\19-023\19-023 QAPP.pdf

Final Report: projectinfoFY18_19\19-023\19-023 Final Report.pdf